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Aug. 8th, 2015 08:53 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
Good news:
The wards are entirely under our control.
The 83 wards transferred beautifully to the Octoboros wards, and we are now back to the coordinates in use before 1983 (for floo, portkey, etc.) That in a very real way makes us part of the larger world again. We have vastly reduced the chance of another Atlantis or another Ys, and all sorts of other very bad things. We are not at risk of the 83 wards crumbling without notice, and if the other side tries to manipulate the wards, the Octoboros system is very robust.
Not ideal news:
The transfer flow was much stronger than we'd expected - that's part of why the light show all night. It is also settling at a much slower rate than anticipated. Until the magic disperses fully into the ley lines, we will not be able to open additional entry points to the country (such as to Ireland) or be able to take the Octoboros wards down entirely. That will be at least a month or two, maybe a lot longer. We should have better estimates of time within the fortnight. Magic near the major leys and Octoboros points may be unpredictably strong in the meantime: I will have maps later today.
Also, because the flow was much stronger than expected, it was exceedingly obvious to the other side, and there were a number of effects on people and places that we didn't anticipate. I'm so sorry about that. We're still not sure about some of the effects in Ireland, nor a number of other things, so there's a lot of work yet to do.
I'm on my way back to Hogwarts, but I desperately need some sleep before I try to do anything else.
The wards are entirely under our control.
The 83 wards transferred beautifully to the Octoboros wards, and we are now back to the coordinates in use before 1983 (for floo, portkey, etc.) That in a very real way makes us part of the larger world again. We have vastly reduced the chance of another Atlantis or another Ys, and all sorts of other very bad things. We are not at risk of the 83 wards crumbling without notice, and if the other side tries to manipulate the wards, the Octoboros system is very robust.
Not ideal news:
The transfer flow was much stronger than we'd expected - that's part of why the light show all night. It is also settling at a much slower rate than anticipated. Until the magic disperses fully into the ley lines, we will not be able to open additional entry points to the country (such as to Ireland) or be able to take the Octoboros wards down entirely. That will be at least a month or two, maybe a lot longer. We should have better estimates of time within the fortnight. Magic near the major leys and Octoboros points may be unpredictably strong in the meantime: I will have maps later today.
Also, because the flow was much stronger than expected, it was exceedingly obvious to the other side, and there were a number of effects on people and places that we didn't anticipate. I'm so sorry about that. We're still not sure about some of the effects in Ireland, nor a number of other things, so there's a lot of work yet to do.
I'm on my way back to Hogwarts, but I desperately need some sleep before I try to do anything else.
Private message to Evelyn
Date: 2015-08-08 01:20 pm (UTC)Excellent work all along. Every bit of it.
I need to fall over: my head's spinning again. I plan to sleep until I wake up, likely later tonight. You should get some rest too, but I trust your judgement on whether to wake me or not if there's something that you feel can't wait.
If you're awake before I am, there's copies of the map base on my desk in the workroom: highlight the three major leys, plus the points where the Octoboros effects overlap. I'd like to make sure Rachel's aurors and enforcers all get copies, and then anyone else who might be doing complex magic you can think of.
Re: Private message to Evelyn
Date: 2015-08-08 06:22 pm (UTC)I tried to sleep a little, but couldn't really.
It's sort of
It's sort of comforting, isn't it, that despite everything that's happened, the model held true. The formula worked, mostly, the numbers held, and things behaved as we suspected they would.
Numbers are so wonderfully dependable, aren't they?
I still can't believe we managed to pull it off.
Re: Private message to Evelyn
Date: 2015-08-09 02:10 am (UTC)My head's still poundingI can't believe it either. At all. And even with the - there's so many pieces I wish we'd had time to do better, rather than doing all we could, and having to trust the rest would work.
I'm about to make the last pot of coffee I've been saving. Do you mind stopping by the infirmary for a headache potion for me, and coming up, and we can see if we can get a summary for Cedric?
Thank you for the maps, that's a great help.
Re: Private message to Evelyn
Date: 2015-08-09 04:20 am (UTC)Ireland
Date: 2015-08-08 05:23 pm (UTC)Should the notice-me-not wards for Ireland have come down last night?
Re: Ireland
Date: 2015-08-09 02:08 am (UTC)It shouldn't have. The models we had gave only a 8.5% chance of it.
Only.
Ugh. Can't get my thoughts straight. From you, from Frank, sounds like it did. And we knew it was a possibility, but it's not the way that notice-me-nots usually work. Or stop working, more accurately. The theories why are for whatever research paper gets written up later, they won't help now.
I don't think there's a way to fix it. And it looked like, originally, last night, like it worked. But, of course, it's easier to tell if people see a thing, remember a thing, than if they don't, isn't it?
Tell me what questions they have, and I can work up some summary information for you?
Re: Ireland
Date: 2015-08-09 05:51 pm (UTC)Siobhan Mazure, a clerk I've dealt with several times recently, was suddenly extremely worked about her muggle cousins from County Mayo. Apparently her mother's maiden name was Teahan. It was heart wrenching watching her remember relatives.
Re: Ireland
Date: 2015-08-09 06:36 pm (UTC)I need a day or so to recover a bit more, but if it'd help to have me come down to Dover and talk to people, I can do that, this week. We have a lot of follow-up work to do, yet, but it's a lot less time sensitive other than helping get the floos back online and all that.
The clerk, that must have been so hard for her. Hard for a lot of people, probably. I can't even imagine.
Re: Ireland
Date: 2015-08-09 06:54 pm (UTC)Re: Ireland
Date: 2015-08-09 07:35 pm (UTC)I wish Professor Flitwick were still alive. Some of the charms theory is - very dense. Especially about things like the notice-me-nots, and large areas of effect. (And it's not like anyone has ever covered entire countries before, or at least I'm pretty sure they haven't.) There's so many parts of this that are entirely new applications.
Evelyn and I are working on pulling together notes, things we know, things out of Alde's journal references (heavily annotated, and it means finding other supporting references.)
I think we may be able to bring down the notice-me-not and the enclosing aspects of the Octoboros wards, eventually - not while they're still so active, while the flow is still so loud. Bright. High. Whatever you want to call it. But we'll need to wait for the leys to settle before we can be sure, I think. I'm hoping we'll be able to start getting some more measurements this week that will give us some idea of the timeline, anyway, before we can do anything else with them.
Re: Ireland
Date: 2015-08-09 07:44 pm (UTC)Even if the way they designed it is utterly bizarre.